Brock Purdy Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Pass Attempts

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
In this game, Brock Purdy is predicted by the model to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.1.

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