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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (6th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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