Brock Purdy Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Pass Attempts

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+102/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (6th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The San Francisco 49ers have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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