Brock Purdy Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Pass Attempts

Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
The San Francisco 49ers have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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