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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Interceptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • In registering a monstrous 0.96 interceptions per game this year, Brock Purdy ranks among the bottom QBs in football (23rd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Brock Purdy is projected by the model to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.4.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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