Brock Purdy Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brock Purdy

NFL · Player Props

Brock Purdy

QB · San Francisco 49ers

Interceptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Purdy Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.
The Eagles have intercepted 0.52 passes per game this year, grading out as the 5th-worst defense in the NFL by this standard
The Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
In this game, Brock Purdy is predicted by the model to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.1.

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