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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Interceptions
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders

Brock Purdy Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Washington Commanders have intercepted 0.52 targets per game this year, ranking as the 8th-worst defense in the NFL by this statistic

The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The San Francisco 49ers have utilized some form of misdirection on 68.6% of their plays since the start of last season (most in the league), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace among all games this week, averaging 27.07 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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