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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • In this week's game, Brock Purdy is forecasted by our trusted projection set to earn the 8th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.4.
  • The Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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