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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 46.5% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

In this game, Brock Purdy is forecasted by the projections to accumulate the 7th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 4.8.

After taking on 6.9% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Brock Purdy has been called on more in the ground game this season, now accounting for 15.9%.

The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

More Brock Purdy Player Props

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