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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the 49ers to run on 46.6% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.

In registering a staggering 4.9 carries per game this year, Brock Purdy ranks among the top QBs in the league (83rd percentile) when talking about ground game workload.

Brock Purdy has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this season (16.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.9%).

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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