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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Carries
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run on 44.8% of their chances: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • The New York defensive tackles grade out as the 10th-best unit in the league last year in regard to defending the run.

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