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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Brian Robinson to notch 14.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Brian Robinson has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (78.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).

With an impressive rate of 3.87 yards after contact (90th percentile), Brian Robinson places among the unyielding RBs in the league this year.

The Browns defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, yielding 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

Brian Robinson has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 63.7% of snaps vs just 50.9% last season.

The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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