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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 49.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.27 seconds per snap.

Washington's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats too low) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier conditions in this game.

The projections expect Brian Robinson to accumulate 16.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

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