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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is implied by the Commanders being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Commanders to run on 50.1% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 58.5 per game on average).

In this game, Brian Robinson is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 82nd percentile among running backs with 16.4 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brian Robinson has been a much smaller part of his offense's ground game this year (47.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (60.4%).

The Tennessee Titans defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Tennessee Titans defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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