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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Brian Robinson is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.4 rush attempts.

Brian Robinson's 70.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a remarkable gain in his rushing proficiency over last season's 47.0 mark.

Brian Robinson's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this year indicates a material progression in his rushing proficiency over last year's 4.0 mark.

Brian Robinson is positioned as one of the leading running backs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a fantastic 3.58 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 84th percentile.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the 27th-worst group of safeties in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

After comprising 60.4% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Brian Robinson has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, now making up just 48.7%.

This year, the daunting Eagles run defense has allowed a measly 101.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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