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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Brian Robinson is projected by the predictive model to slot into the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.1 carries.
  • After taking on 52.4% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Brian Robinson has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 65.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders offensive approach to lean 12.6% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
  • The model projects the Washington Commanders as the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 35.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to blocking for rushers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Washington Commanders grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year.

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