Brian Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to garner 15.0 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Brian Robinson has received 50.6% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Brian Robinson has grinded out 58.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (80th percentile).

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Brian Robinson's rushing effectiveness (3.65 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (17th percentile among running backs).
The New York Giants defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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