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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The projections expect Brian Robinson to accumulate 3.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

The Commanders O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (88.0%).

The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 29.0 per game) since the start of last season.

Brian Robinson's 72.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a remarkable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 90.4% rate.

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