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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With a terrific 2.3 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) since the start of last season, Brian Robinson has been as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the league.
  • Brian Robinson profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in a fantastic 89.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

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