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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

Brian Robinson's receiving skills have diminished this season, accumulating a mere 1.3 adjusted catches vs 2.4 last season.

Brian Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 90.4% to 81.4%.

This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed a paltry 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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