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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/-101).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) last year.

Brian Robinson has been one of the best RBs in the pass game last year, averaging a fantastic 2.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

With an exceptional 90.4% Adjusted Completion% (95th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been phenomenal last year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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