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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Commanders offensive approach to lean 12.6% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Brian Robinson's 31.5% Route% this year marks a a noteworthy gain in his air attack workload over last year's 20.0% mark.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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