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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Brian Robinson checks in as one of the leading pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 24.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Brian Robinson profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in a fantastic 89.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Brian Robinson ranks as one of the most effective receivers in the league when it comes to RBs, averaging an excellent 9.19 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 54.2% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.69 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-slowest in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment.

Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Brian Robinson has posted a mere -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 10th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Since the start of last season, the strong Bengals defense has allowed a paltry 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 9th-best in football.

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