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Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-113).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -113.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.27 seconds per snap.Brian Robinson is positioned as one of the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 25.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.With a fantastic 89.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Brian Robinson has been as one of the best possession receivers in the league among RBs.With a stellar 9.2 adjusted yards per target (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Brian Robinson ranks among the top RB receiving threats in the league.With a remarkable 11.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Brian Robinson rates as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the NFL in picking up extra yardage.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to pass on 50.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.Washington's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats too low) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier conditions in this game.When it comes to air yards, Brian Robinson grades out in just the 9th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing just -3.0 per game.The Giants defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 25.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
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