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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are projected by the model to run 68.6 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).

This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a massive 8.85 yards.

The Cowboys pass defense has not been good when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 9.49 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Dallas's group of safeties has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Commanders, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

Brian Robinson has notched many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (24.0).

Brian Robinson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 90.4% to 83.2%.

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