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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
  • In regards to air yards, Brian Robinson grades out in the measly 19th percentile among running backs this year, with just -3.0 per game.
  • Brian Robinson's 12.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a remarkable drop-off in his receiving talent over last season's 24.0 rate.
  • Brian Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 90.4% to 81.4%.

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