My Account Log Out

reorder

Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (36.8 per game) last year.

With an exceptional 24.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (90th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson places as one of the best pass-catching RBs in the league.

With an exceptional 90.4% Adjusted Completion% (95th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

In regards to air yards, Brian Robinson grades out in the paltry 11th percentile among running backs last year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

Last year, the imposing Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a paltry 5.2 yards.

The Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

More Brian Robinson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™