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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.5% of their chances: the highest rate among all teams this week.

As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.

The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brian Robinson has accrued a mere -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 13th percentile among RBs.

With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Brian Robinson places as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in the league in space.

This year, the strong Seahawks defense has yielded a mere 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

This year, the fierce Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a paltry 5.3 yards.

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