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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 4th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

In this week's game, Brian Robinson is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.6 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

Brian Robinson has been much less involved in his team's running game this year (48.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (60.4%).

The Giants defensive tackles project as the best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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