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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Brian Robinson to notch 14.9 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.
  • Brian Robinson has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 63.7% of snaps vs just 50.9% last season.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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