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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to run on 48.7% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a whopping 59.3 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Brian Robinson to notch 18.3 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Brian Robinson has been a much smaller part of his team's run game this season (48.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (60.4%).

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