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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Brian Robinson is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.4 rush attempts.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the 27th-worst group of safeties in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

After comprising 60.4% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Brian Robinson has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, now making up just 48.7%.

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