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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Washington Commanders have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
  • This week, Brian Robinson is projected by the projections to rank in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.5 carries.
  • The Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the worst unit in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • While Brian Robinson has received 60.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Washington's running game this week at 42.5%.

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