Brian Robinson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Brian Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Brian Robinson

RB · Washington Commanders

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to notch 14.1 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Brian Robinson has been given 58.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the best unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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