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Brian Robinson

Brian Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Brian Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-139/+102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brian Robinson to total 15.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • Brian Robinson has garnered 52.0% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
  • The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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