Brett Rypien Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Brett Rypien

NFL · Player Props

Brett Rypien

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 3:36 PM EST

Analysis

Brett Rypien Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 200.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
This year, the anemic Packers defense has allowed a whopping 75.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-biggest rate in football.
This year, the poor Packers defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a monstrous 7.96 yards.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the model to run only 62.7 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Rams offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

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