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Breshad Perriman

Breshad Perriman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Breshad Perriman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Breshad Perriman to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (7.9% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 138.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.3%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (60.3%).
  • The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, conceding 7.71 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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