Breece Hall Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-117).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
With a high 14.1% Red Zone Target% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall ranks as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage near the goal line in the NFL.

Favors Under

The model projects the Jets offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.50 seconds per snap.
Breece Hall has been given 46.0% of his team's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Since the start of last season, the stout Detroit Lions defense has given up a meager 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has allowed a paltry 0.05 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Detroit's unit has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in football. in football.