Breece Hall Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+111/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Jets being a -3-point underdog this week.
Breece Hall has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 15.5% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Breece Hall has put up a staggering 3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Breece Hall comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in an impressive 90.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the porous Green Bay Packers defense has conceded a staggering 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New York Jets as the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 10th-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (46.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Breece Hall has garnered 45.9% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Packers defense has conceded a paltry 0.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the league.