Breece Hall Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to run on 43.8% of their downs: the 10th-highest rate among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Breece Hall is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.0 carries.
Breece Hall has received 58.6% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall has generated 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (88th percentile).
Last year, the strong Tennessee Titans run defense has given up a mere 4.76 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 23rd-lowest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.