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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Breece Hall Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+102/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
  • The New York Jets have incorporated some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the least yards in football (just 85 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.

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