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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Breece Hall has been used more as a potential target this year (62.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.8%).

The model projects Breece Hall to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

Breece Hall's 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 85.1% rate.

The Steelers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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