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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
  • In this week's game, Breece Hall is expected by the projection model to finish in the 87th percentile among RBs with 3.7 targets.
  • Breece Hall's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 63.9% to 71.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
  • Breece Hall's 8.5% Target% this season illustrates a a significant reduction in his passing attack usage over last season's 13.5% mark.
  • Breece Hall's 1.6 adjusted catches per game this season indicates a a noteable diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 2.7 rate.
  • The Eagles linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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