Breece Hall Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
The New York Jets offensive line has afforded their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.