Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
This week, Breece Hall is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 85th percentile among running backs with 3.4 targets.
As it relates to air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the lofty 90th percentile among running backs last year, totaling a massive 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
Breece Hall slots into the 84th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) with an impressive 15.1 mark last year.
Breece Hall ranks as one of the top pass-catching running backs last year, averaging a stellar 18.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Titans, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 29.9 per game) last year.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Breece Hall comes in as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.