|
|
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The model projects Breece Hall to earn 4.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.Breece Hall has put up a massive 10.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).Breece Hall's 84.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 76.6% rate.Breece Hall's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 6.2 mark.As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 123.8 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.Breece Hall's 44.1% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a remarkable drop-off in his passing game volume over last year's 60.6% figure.When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
