Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 3.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (48.0) versus RBs this year.
This year, the shaky Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a whopping 8.27 yards.
The Broncos linebackers project as the worst LB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
Breece Hall's 7.6% Target% this season indicates a a remarkable regression in his air attack workload over last season's 13.5% figure.
After accruing 23.0 air yards per game last year, Breece Hall has undergone a big decline this year, currently averaging 0.0 per game.
Breece Hall's 10.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates a a meaningful decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 27.0 mark.

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