Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (85.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (85.6%).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has not been good when opposing running backs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.74 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in football.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 31.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.