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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (43.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, allowing 8.26 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 8.30 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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