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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Jets as the most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The model projects Breece Hall to earn 20.1 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Among all running backs, Breece Hall ranks in the 86th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 123.8 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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