Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 30, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 6 points.
The projections expect Breece Hall to earn 15.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Breece Hall has been given 62.1% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's unit has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 4th-least run-centric team in the league (36.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Jets.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the model to run only 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number on the slate this week.
New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially deflated (and rushing stats propped up a bit) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with improved conditions in this week's contest.

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